Monday 9 September 2013

Riskier not to strike Syria, US says

Source BBC News@ tienganhvui.com




John Kerry: "The risk of not acting is greater than the risk of acting"




US Secretary of State John Kerry has warned that not responding to the alleged use of chemical weapons by Syrian forces would be riskier than taking action.


He was speaking in London before returning to the US to urge Congress to back launching military strikes.


Russia has appealed to Washington to focus instead on peace talks.


Syria's President Bashar al-Assad has insisted there is "no evidence" his government used chemical weapons.


The US accuses Mr Assad's forces of killing 1,429 people in a sarin gas attack on 21 August on the outskirts of the capital, Damascus.


Wrapping up a tour of European capitals, Mr Kerry said that if there was to be no response to the attack, then Damascus would think it could intimidate anybody.


"I don't believe that we should shy from this moment: the risk of not acting is greater than the risk of acting," he said.




The BBC's Jeremy Bowen reports on "an illusion of normality" in Damascus



Mr Kerry was speaking hours after it emerged that President Assad had given a US television interview in which he appeared to indicate there would be, among people aligned with him, some kind of retaliation if a strike was made,


In the interview, to be broadcast on the PBS network on Monday evening, Mr Assad would neither confirm nor deny his government kept chemical weapons, but said that if they existed, they were "in centralised control".


"There has been no evidence that I used chemical weapons against my own people," he told the network.


Speaking in Moscow on Monday, Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Muallem accused the US of using the issue of chemical weapons as a "pretext" to launch a war.


He addressed reporters alongside Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov who insisted there was no alternative to a peaceful solution to the crisis, adding that Mr Muallem had confirmed Damascus was prepared to take part in a Geneva conference.



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The next few days will see Mr Obama stripped, all the flaws of his presidency on display, all the strengths of his personality strained to their limit”



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"We appeal to our American colleagues to concentrate on this and not for preparing for a war scenario", Mr Lavrov said.


But the secretary of state appeared to cast doubt on this approach in his remarks minutes later in London: "If one party believes that he can rub out countless numbers of his own citizens with impunity using chemical weapons... he will never come to a negotiating table."


Mr Kerry has been lobbying hard for military action against Mr Assad during talks with EU and Arab foreign ministers before his return to Washington.


Mr Assad's government blames the attack on rebels fighting to overthrow him in the country's two-and-a-half-year civil war, which has claimed some 100,000 lives, according to UN estimates.


Syria's allies include China and Russia, as well as Iran and the militant Hezbollah movement in Lebanon.


UK Foreign Secretary William Hague cautioned against believing anything from President Assad's interview.


"We mustn't fall into the trap of attaching too much credibility to the words of a leader - President Assad - who has presided over so many war crimes and crimes against humanity," Mr Hague said.


'Common-sense test'

Lawmakers will be back at work in Washington on Monday after their summer recess to start discussing President Barack Obama's resolution to launch a "limited, narrow" strike.



How week may unfold in US



  • Monday: US Congress returns after summer recess; President Obama conducts interviews with six US TV networks; intense White House lobbying of politicians continues

  • Tuesday: President gives prime time address from White House; debate expected in Senate

  • Wednesday: First (procedural) vote in Senate on Mr Obama's resolution could take place

  • Thursday: Possible Senate vote to pass resolution

  • Next week: House of Representatives could vote on the resolution; waiting goes on for UN report into chemical weapons strike in Damascus




Congress is due to debate whether to authorise intervention in Syria.


A Senate vote on the issue is expected as early as Wednesday, although the timetable for Mr Obama's request is less certain in the House, where the measure faces an even rockier time.


The White House has admitted it has no "irrefutable" evidence of Mr Assad's involvement in the August attack, but said a "strong common-sense test irrespective of the intelligence" suggested his government was responsible.


"We've seen the video proof of the outcome of those attacks," White House Chief of Staff Dennis McDonough said on Sunday.


"Now do we have a picture or do we have irrefutable beyond-a-reasonable-doubt evidence? This is not a court of law and intelligence does not work that way."


The British parliament has already voted against the UK joining any US-led military intervention in Syria.


No easy task

Mr Obama cleared his schedule this week to focus all his attention on building support for the Syrian intervention.


He will also seek public support in a White House address on Tuesday. He has acknowledged he faces a "heavy lift" to win congressional backing.



Syria's chemical weapons



  • The CIA believes Syria has had a chemical weapons programme "for years and already has a stockpile of CW agents which can be delivered by aircraft, ballistic missile, and artillery rockets"

  • Syria is believed to possess mustard gas and sarin, a highly toxic nerve agent

  • The CIA also believes that Syria has attempted to develop more toxic and more persistent nerve agents, such as VX gas

  • A report citing Turkish, Arab and Western intelligence agencies put Syria's stockpile at approximately 1,000 tonnes of chemical weapons, stored in 50 towns and cities

  • Syria has not signed the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) or ratified the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BTWC)


Sources: CSIS, RUSI




White House officials have been giving daily classified briefings to congressional members.


While the White House believes an endorsement from the Senate could be within reach, the passage of the Syria resolution in the Republican-led House is likely to be even harder.


A Washington Post survey said 224 of the current 433 members of the House were either "no" or "leaning no" on military action as of Friday, while 184 were undecided and just 25 were backing a strike.


The survey suggested that 27 of the 100 senators were "no" or "leaning no", while 50 were undecided and 23 supportive of military action.


Many US politicians remain concerned that military action could draw the nation into a prolonged war and spark broader hostilities in the region.


Outside the US, France supports military intervention but it wants to wait for a report by UN weapons experts before taking action.


Russia and China, which have refused to agree to a UN Security Council resolution against Syria, insist any military action without the UN would be illegal.





Đăng ký: Tieng Anh Vui

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